Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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